Unvig › Today's board › 11 September 2026
Salzburg, Oran and Beerschot VA: the real numbers behind today’s prices
Ried host Salzburg, with the market making the home side 15.7%; Oran are 59.7% against Temouchent; Beerschot VA are 63.1% against K. Lierse S.K.; every figure below is the bookmakers’ own, with their margin removed.
Every price on a betting app started life as a probability, and was then quietly marked up. What follows is that conversion run backwards on today’s matches, so you can read the chance instead of the odds.
These are not our predictions. They are the bookmakers’ own numbers: the probability implied by the prices they are quoting right now, with the margin they build into those prices taken back out.
Ried v Salzburg
AUSTRIA: Bundesliga · 17:30 UTC
Ried host Salzburg in Bundesliga, kick-off 17:30 UTC. The market makes Salzburg 62.6% to win it, the draw 21.7%, and the other side 15.7%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 4.3% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 65.4% and both teams to score at 62.0%. Read next to a 62.6% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Ried | 15.7% |
| Draw | 21.7% |
| Salzburg | 62.6% |
Oran v Temouchent
ALGERIA: Ligue 1 · 18:00 UTC
Oran host Temouchent in Ligue 1, kick-off 18:00 UTC. The market makes Oran 59.7% to win it, the draw 27.4%, and the other side 12.9%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 7.7% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 36.0%. Read next to a 59.7% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Oran | 59.7% |
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Temouchent | 12.9% |
Beerschot VA v K. Lierse S.K.
BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League · 18:00 UTC
Beerschot VA host K. Lierse S.K. in Challenger Pro League, kick-off 18:00 UTC. The market makes Beerschot VA 63.1% to win it, the draw 20.6%, and the other side 16.4%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 6.2% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 58.2%. Read next to a 63.1% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Beerschot VA | 63.1% |
| Draw | 20.6% |
| K. Lierse S.K. | 16.4% |
Where these numbers come from
A price of 2.00 looks like a 50%% chance. It never is. The bookmaker works out the true probability first, adds their margin, and hands you the marked-up number. The size of that mark-up changes from match to match, which is why two bets that feel identical can cost you very different amounts.
Taking the mark-up back out is the whole job, and the arithmetic is written out in full here. Nothing on this page is a tip, a selection or a forecast: no bet is recommended, no outcome is predicted, and no claim is made that any of it produces a profit. It is the bookmakers’ own view of each match, published without their cut on top.
The full board — every match today, every market, updated through the day — is on the front page, and a fifth of it is free to read without an account.