Sports data · analytics · informational only

Know the real chance of any bet.
Before you place it.

Every football market of the sharpest bookmaker, with the bookmaker's cut removed. Filter 160 matches down to the handful that fit your criteria, click any number to log it or get told when the match starts, and keep a record of whether your price beat the close. No picks, no tips, no promises. $19.99/month.

Open the table See what is not sold
1,240matches
68leagues
9markets
60srefresh

Live sample — free tier

The real chance of any bet, at a glance.

CONNECTING… Delayed 10 min · top 6 leagues.
All 68 leagues and history with the paid plan.
on home win

Asian handicap percentages are unbiased. 1X2 percentages carry a documented favourite–longshot bias — the same price converts to a slightly distorted probability at long odds. That is why the handicap block sits first.

probability rising probability falling m 4.8% the bookmaker's cut in this market — already removed from the percentages you see 2.25 ¼ quarter line — settles ½ on 2 · ½ on 2.5 50% the line the market sees as a coin flip · this line is not offered for that match one number per line — the opposite side is always 100 − it
connecting…

What you actually get

Find it, watch it, measure it.

Three things a serious bettor does by hand every day, in one screen.

01

Narrow 160 matches to 20

One click on Best home, Over 2.5, Corners over 9.5 or any of ten ready-made shortcuts, and the table shows only the matches that qualify — ranked best first, on the tab where that market is visible.

Or build your own: any market, above or below any percentage. The probability-band filter is the query no other interface expresses cleanly.

02

One click on any number

Click a percentage anywhere in the table. The cell already knows the match, the market and the current price, so there is no form to fill in — just two choices: log it, or get told when it kicks off.

The alert takes no settings. No thresholds to guess, no theory about price movement required. It simply tells you when the match starts.

03

Keep an honest record

Every bet you log is settled automatically and kept with stake, odds, profit or loss, hit rate and ROI — plus the number almost nobody tracks: whether your entry price beat the closing one.

That last figure measures your timing, not your profit. It is the only honest way to know if your selection method is doing anything at all.

Built for patience, not for tips

We will never tell you what to bet, and we will never claim this makes money. What we give you is the reference price professionals measure against, a way to cut a day's fixtures down to the ones that match your rules, and a record honest enough to show you when your method isn't working.

Patience and a method are yours to bring. If you have them, you need an accurate reference price and a way to keep score. That is exactly, and only, what this is.

Method

What a no-vig probability is

Every price a bookmaker offers has a cut built in — the margin. That's how the bookmaker earns, win or lose. A market priced at 1.91 / 1.91 adds up to 104.8% — the extra 4.8% is the cut. Every percentage on this page has that cut removed. When you see 54.2%, that's the real chance the market assigns to what you're about to bet — and the m 4.8% badge next to it shows exactly how much the bookmaker was taking.

A bookmaker's raw prices always include a margin — the vig. Take a perfectly balanced market: 1.91 / 1.91. Raw, it implies 52.4% / 52.4% — a total of 104.8%, which is impossible.

We remove the margin mathematically and publish what remains: the market's honest probability estimate. 1.91 / 1.91 becomes 50.0% / 50.0%, margin 4.8%.

That number — not the price — is the reference. Compare your own estimate against it, or check what other bookmakers are charging you for the same event.

The method is named, not implied. We publish multiplicative (equal-margin) de-vigging by default: every raw implied probability is divided by the book sum. The balanced example above is the one case where every method agrees — on a lopsided market, equal-margin, odds-ratio, logarithmic and Shin return different answers from identical prices. A product whose whole claim is "the real percentage" cannot leave that implicit. Paid users switch method per market.

Raw implied52.4%52.4%104.8%
− vig 4.8%
No-vig probability50.0%50.0%100.0%

One sentence of honesty: matching the market's accuracy is not enough to profit — a bettor who beat the closing line in every single game of a season still wins only slightly over 51%, below the 52.4% break-even.

Coverage

Every market family, on one screen

What this is not

The honesty block.

Pricing

One price. Everything shown.

Free

€0/forever

  • Every market family, fully de-vigged
  • 20% of each day’s matches
  • Big and small competitions, mixed
  • Shareable filter links
Open the table

FAQ

Asked before you ask.

Is the data delayed?

Yes. The free tier is delayed by 10 minutes. Paid subscribers see the freshest data our collector delivers, with the capture time shown on every row. We show staleness honestly — every cell carries its own timestamp.

Are you affiliated with the bookmaker whose markets you show?

No. We are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to any bookmaker. We display publicly shown market data for analytical purposes only.

Why percentages instead of odds?

Because the probability is the information. A price is only a probability wearing a costume, and the margin is usually hidden inside it. We show the number the price encodes — and the margin separately.

What happens when I cancel?

You keep access until the end of the paid period. No lock-in. Saved filters are yours to export before the period ends.

Can this make me money?

No product can promise that, and we refuse to. What it can do: show you the market's true probability before you bet, and measure whether you beat the closing line — for your own records.