An hour before kick-off
Your heart says they win tonight.
Your bookmaker has a number. Now you can see it.
You know the feeling. The match is on, you have picked your bet, and something in you says this one is right. Maybe it is. But only one side of that counter actually knows.
They worked out the real chance before they printed a single odd. Then they buried it under their own profit and handed you one number. We dig it back out and put it in front of you — for your team, and for every other match on tonight’s board.
You still decide. We just make sure you are not deciding blind.
Free to look at, no account needed · what we refuse to sell
Why this exists
Part chance, part their profit.
One number, no way to tell them apart.
Your bookmaker knows the real chance. It is the first thing they work out — before a single odd goes up, for a Champions League final and for a Tuesday night game in Bolivia alike.
Then they add their own cut on top, blend the two together, and hand you one number. That number is the only thing you have ever seen.
We take their cut back out and give you what is underneath: the real chance, on its own. Then we show you exactly how big the cut was, so you can see what you were being charged.
No picks. No systems. No tips. We will never tell you what to back — that part is yours, and anyone who claims otherwise is selling you something.
Home, draw, away — one of them happens, so it can only add up to 100. The extra 6 is theirs.
Live sample — free tier
Every match. The real chance on each one.
How to read it — 30 seconds
- Find your match. Search a team name, or filter by day and league.
- Read the percentage. That is the real chance, with the bookmaker’s profit already removed. 80.4% means it happens 8 times out of 10.
- Check the little m badge. That is how much the bookmaker was charging on that match. Small is good for you.
- Tap any number to save the bet or get a reminder when the match kicks off.
The tabs across the top change what you are looking at — goals, corners, first half, and so on. Everything you see is free today; the rest of the board is for members.
All of them with the paid plan.
One caveat worth knowing. On big underdogs — anything under roughly 10% — home/draw/away percentages run slightly high, a long-documented quirk of how these markets are priced. Everything else on this screen is unaffected. If you bet longshots often, the All handicaps tab gives you the same match through a market that does not have this quirk.
Your dashboard
Click any percentage in the table to set an alert or log a bet on it.
Saved presets
Bet history
Press ＋ on any row in the table to record a bet. Stake and odds are optional — leave them empty to track the price only. P/L is your actual money. Δ pp is not: it compares your entry percentage against the closing one, which measures your timing, not your profit.
Shortcuts one rule, two uses — see it now, or be told when it happens
🔔 sends a desktop notification while Unvig is open in a tab. Each match alerts once a day.
What you actually get
Find it, watch it, measure it.
Three things a serious bettor does by hand every day, in one screen.
Narrow 160 matches to 20
One click on Best home, Over 2.5, Corners over 9.5 or any of ten ready-made shortcuts, and the table shows only the matches that qualify — ranked best first, on the tab where that market is visible.
Or build your own: any market, above or below any percentage. The probability-band filter is the query no other interface expresses cleanly.
One click on any number
Click a percentage anywhere in the table. The cell already knows the match, the market and the current price, so there is no form to fill in — just two choices: log it, or get told when it kicks off.
The alert takes no settings. No thresholds to guess, no theory about price movement required. It simply tells you when the match starts.
Keep an honest record
Every bet you log is settled automatically and kept with stake, odds, profit or loss, hit rate and ROI — plus the number almost nobody tracks: whether your entry price beat the closing one.
That last figure measures your timing, not your profit. It is the only honest way to know if your selection method is doing anything at all.
Built for patience, not for tips
We will never tell you what to bet, and we will never claim this makes money. What we give you is the reference price professionals measure against, a way to cut a day's fixtures down to the ones that match your rules, and a record honest enough to show you when your method isn't working.
Patience and a method are yours to bring. If you have them, you need an accurate reference price and a way to keep score. That is exactly, and only, what this is.
Nothing hidden
How we work it out
Say a game is a genuine coin flip. A fair price would be 2.00 on each side. Your bookmaker offers 1.91. That small difference is their cut — it works out at 4.8%, and it is there whether you win or lose. We do the sum that takes it back out, and show you what is left: 50%, not 52.4%. Next to every number on this site you can see how big that cut was.
That is the whole idea. If you want to see the arithmetic itself, it is right below — we have nothing to hide behind.
A bookmaker's raw prices always include a margin — the vig. Take a perfectly balanced market: 1.91 / 1.91. Raw, it implies 52.4% / 52.4% — a total of 104.8%, which is impossible.
We remove the margin mathematically and publish what remains: the market's honest probability estimate. 1.91 / 1.91 becomes 50.0% / 50.0%, margin 4.8%.
That number — not the price — is the reference. Compare your own estimate against it, or check what other bookmakers are charging you for the same event.
The method is named, not implied. We publish multiplicative (equal-margin) de-vigging by default: every raw implied probability is divided by the book sum. The balanced example above is the one case where every method agrees — on a lopsided market, equal-margin, odds-ratio, logarithmic and Shin return different answers from identical prices. A product whose whole claim is "the real percentage" cannot leave that implicit. Paid users switch method per market.
One sentence of honesty: matching the market's accuracy is not enough to profit — a bettor who beat the closing line in every single game of a season still wins only slightly over 51%, below the 52.4% break-even.
Coverage
What you can look at
What this is not
What we will never do
- Not picks. We never tell you what to bet. There is no signal, no tip, no strategy.
- Not a profit promise. Nobody sells a machine that prints money from public prices. Neither do we.
- Not a bookmaker. We take no wagers, hold no funds, and we are not affiliated with any bookmaker.
- Not a tipster in disguise. We earn no referral revenue, carry no operator advertising, and never will.
- Not advice. Data and analytics, informational only. You decide.
Pricing
One price. Everything shown.
Free
€0/forever
- Every market family, fully de-vigged
- 20% of each day’s matches
- Big and small competitions, mixed
- Shareable filter links
Monthly
€19.99/month
- Everything in Free
- All 255 matches a day, all 57 leagues
- Unlimited shortcuts & saved filters
- Kick-off alerts on any match
- Bet history with stake, odds, P/L and ROI
- Closing-line comparison on every bet
- CSV export
After subscribing, create an account here using the same email address you paid with. Your access unlocks automatically.
7-day money-back guarantee. Cancel anytime.
FAQ
Questions people ask
What do I get for free?
20% of each day’s matches, chosen deliberately across both major competitions and smaller ones — so you can see the real breadth of the coverage, not just the leagues everyone prices. Every market family is included on those matches, at the same freshness subscribers get. Members see all of them.
Are you affiliated with the bookmaker whose markets you show?
No. We are not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to any bookmaker. We display publicly shown market data for analytical purposes only.
Why percentages instead of odds?
Because the probability is the information. A price is only a probability wearing a costume, and the margin is usually hidden inside it. We show the number the price encodes — and the margin separately.
I just subscribed — how do I get access?
Create an account here using the same email address you paid with. Your subscription is matched by email, so access unlocks the moment you sign up — nothing to enter, no code to redeem. Used a different address by mistake? Email support@unvig.com and we will move it across.
What happens when I cancel?
You keep access until the end of the paid period. No lock-in. Saved filters are yours to export before the period ends.
Can this make me money?
No product can promise that, and we refuse to. What it can do: show you the market's true probability before you bet, and measure whether you beat the closing line — for your own records.