Unvig › Today's board › 5 October 2026
Cordoba, Kongsvinger and Nueva Chicago: the real numbers behind today’s prices
Cordoba host Tenerife, with the market making the home side 50.5%; Kongsvinger are 55.0% against Moss; Nueva Chicago are 42.5% against Deportivo Maipu; every figure below is the bookmakers’ own, with their margin removed.
Every price on a betting app started life as a probability, and was then quietly marked up. What follows is that conversion run backwards on today’s matches, so you can read the chance instead of the odds.
These are not our predictions. They are the bookmakers’ own numbers: the probability implied by the prices they are quoting right now, with the margin they build into those prices taken back out.
Cordoba v Tenerife
SPAIN: LaLiga2 · 18:30 UTC
Cordoba host Tenerife in LaLiga2, kick-off 18:30 UTC. The market makes Cordoba 50.5% to win it, the draw 26.4%, and the other side 23.1%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 4.2% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 50.7% and both teams to score at 54.0%. Read next to a 50.5% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Cordoba | 50.5% |
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Tenerife | 23.1% |
Moss v Kongsvinger
NORWAY: OBOS-ligaen · 17:00 UTC
Moss host Kongsvinger in OBOS-ligaen, kick-off 17:00 UTC. The market makes Kongsvinger 55.0% to win it, the draw 20.6%, and the other side 24.4%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 5.8% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 77.5% and both teams to score at 74.9%. Read next to a 55.0% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Moss | 24.4% |
| Draw | 20.6% |
| Kongsvinger | 55.0% |
Nueva Chicago v Deportivo Maipu
ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional · 20:00 UTC
Nueva Chicago host Deportivo Maipu in Primera Nacional, kick-off 20:00 UTC. The market makes Nueva Chicago 42.5% to win it, the draw 32.8%, and the other side 24.7%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 5.6% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 31.7%. Read next to a 42.5% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Nueva Chicago | 42.5% |
| Draw | 32.8% |
| Deportivo Maipu | 24.7% |
Where these numbers come from
A price of 2.00 looks like a 50%% chance. It never is. The bookmaker works out the true probability first, adds their margin, and hands you the marked-up number. The size of that mark-up changes from match to match, which is why two bets that feel identical can cost you very different amounts.
Taking the mark-up back out is the whole job, and the arithmetic is written out in full here. Nothing on this page is a tip, a selection or a forecast: no bet is recommended, no outcome is predicted, and no claim is made that any of it produces a profit. It is the bookmakers’ own view of each match, published without their cut on top.
The full board — every match today, every market, updated through the day — is on the front page, and a fifth of it is free to read without an account.