Unvig › Today's board › 20 September 2026
Feyenoord, AZ Alkmaar and Norwich: the real numbers behind today’s prices
Feyenoord host Utrecht, with the market making the home side 75.5%; AZ Alkmaar are 77.5% against Telstar; Norwich are 64.6% against Bolton; every figure below is the bookmakers’ own, with their margin removed.
Every price on a betting app started life as a probability, and was then quietly marked up. What follows is that conversion run backwards on today’s matches, so you can read the chance instead of the odds.
These are not our predictions. They are the bookmakers’ own numbers: the probability implied by the prices they are quoting right now, with the margin they build into those prices taken back out.
Feyenoord v Utrecht
NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · 10:15 UTC
Feyenoord host Utrecht in Eredivisie, kick-off 10:15 UTC. The market makes Feyenoord 75.5% to win it, the draw 14.4%, and the other side 10.1%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 4.4% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 73.8% and both teams to score at 58.7%. Read next to a 75.5% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Feyenoord | 75.5% |
| Draw | 14.4% |
| Utrecht | 10.1% |
AZ Alkmaar v Telstar
NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie · 12:30 UTC
AZ Alkmaar host Telstar in Eredivisie, kick-off 12:30 UTC. The market makes AZ Alkmaar 77.5% to win it, the draw 13.2%, and the other side 9.3%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 4.4% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 74.4% and both teams to score at 57.2%. Read next to a 77.5% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| AZ Alkmaar | 77.5% |
| Draw | 13.2% |
| Telstar | 9.3% |
Norwich v Bolton
ENGLAND: Championship · 12:30 UTC
Norwich host Bolton in Championship, kick-off 12:30 UTC. The market makes Norwich 64.6% to win it, the draw 19.7%, and the other side 15.7%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 3.7% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 63.9% and both teams to score at 58.5%. Read next to a 64.6% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Norwich | 64.6% |
| Draw | 19.7% |
| Bolton | 15.7% |
Where these numbers come from
A price of 2.00 looks like a 50%% chance. It never is. The bookmaker works out the true probability first, adds their margin, and hands you the marked-up number. The size of that mark-up changes from match to match, which is why two bets that feel identical can cost you very different amounts.
Taking the mark-up back out is the whole job, and the arithmetic is written out in full here. Nothing on this page is a tip, a selection or a forecast: no bet is recommended, no outcome is predicted, and no claim is made that any of it produces a profit. It is the bookmakers’ own view of each match, published without their cut on top.
The full board — every match today, every market, updated through the day — is on the front page, and a fifth of it is free to read without an account.