Unvig › Today’s board › 27 August 2026
Besiktas, Lillestrom and CSKA Sofia: the real numbers behind today’s prices
Kauno Zalgiris host Besiktas, with the market making the home side 11.0%; Lillestrom are 64.9% against Egnatia; CSKA Sofia are 66.3% against OFI Crete; every figure below is the bookmakers’ own, with their margin removed.
Every price on a betting app started life as a probability, and was then quietly marked up. What follows is that conversion run backwards on today’s matches, so you can read the chance instead of the odds.
These are not our predictions. They are the bookmakers’ own numbers: the probability implied by the prices they are quoting right now, with the margin they build into those prices taken back out.
Kauno Zalgiris v Besiktas
EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification · 17:00 UTC
Kauno Zalgiris host Besiktas in Europa League - Qualification, kick-off 17:00 UTC. The market makes Besiktas (Tur) 70.0% to win it, the draw 19.0%, and the other side 11.0%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 6.4% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 51.3% and both teams to score at 41.3%. Read next to a 70.0% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Kauno Zalgiris (Ltu) | 11.0% |
| Draw | 19.0% |
| Besiktas (Tur) | 70.0% |
Lillestrom v Egnatia
EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification · 17:00 UTC
Lillestrom host Egnatia in Europa League - Qualification, kick-off 17:00 UTC. The market makes Lillestrom (Nor) 64.9% to win it, the draw 21.5%, and the other side 13.6%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 6.4% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 51.4% and both teams to score at 47.1%. Read next to a 64.9% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Lillestrom (Nor) | 64.9% |
| Draw | 21.5% |
| Egnatia (Alb) | 13.6% |
CSKA Sofia v OFI Crete
EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification · 18:00 UTC
CSKA Sofia host OFI Crete in Europa League - Qualification, kick-off 18:00 UTC. The market makes CSKA Sofia (Bul) 66.3% to win it, the draw 20.3%, and the other side 13.4%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 6.3% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 54.3% and both teams to score at 46.9%. Read next to a 66.3% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| CSKA Sofia (Bul) | 66.3% |
| Draw | 20.3% |
| OFI Crete (Gre) | 13.4% |
Where these numbers come from
A price of 2.00 looks like a 50% chance. It never is. The bookmaker works out the true probability first, adds their margin, and hands you the marked-up number. The size of that mark-up changes from match to match, which is why two bets that feel identical can cost you very different amounts.
Taking the mark-up back out is the whole job, and the arithmetic is written out in full here. Nothing on this page is a tip, a selection or a forecast: no bet is recommended, no outcome is predicted, and no claim is made that any of it produces a profit. It is the bookmakers’ own view of each match, published without their cut on top.
The full board — every match today, every market, updated through the day — is on the front page, and a fifth of it is free to read without an account.