Unvig › Today's board › 26 September 2026
Saudi Arabia, Switzerland and Albania: the real numbers behind today’s prices
Oman host Saudi Arabia, with the market making the home side 16.9%; Switzerland are 67.2% against North Macedonia; Albania are 62.8% against Belarus; every figure below is the bookmakers’ own, with their margin removed.
Every price on a betting app started life as a probability, and was then quietly marked up. What follows is that conversion run backwards on today’s matches, so you can read the chance instead of the odds.
These are not our predictions. They are the bookmakers’ own numbers: the probability implied by the prices they are quoting right now, with the margin they build into those prices taken back out.
Oman v Saudi Arabia
ASIA: Arabian Gulf Cup · 18:00 UTC
Oman host Saudi Arabia in Arabian Gulf Cup, kick-off 18:00 UTC. The market makes Saudi Arabia 59.3% to win it, the draw 23.8%, and the other side 16.9%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 6.2% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 46.1% and both teams to score at 44.6%. Read next to a 59.3% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Oman | 16.9% |
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Saudi Arabia | 59.3% |
North Macedonia v Switzerland
EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League B · 18:45 UTC
North Macedonia host Switzerland in UEFA Nations League - League B, kick-off 18:45 UTC. The market makes Switzerland 67.2% to win it, the draw 19.8%, and the other side 13.0%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 4.4% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 54.6% and both teams to score at 48.1%. Read next to a 67.2% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| North Macedonia | 13.0% |
| Draw | 19.8% |
| Switzerland | 67.2% |
Albania v Belarus
EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League C · 18:45 UTC
Albania host Belarus in UEFA Nations League - League C, kick-off 18:45 UTC. The market makes Albania 62.8% to win it, the draw 23.6%, and the other side 13.6%.
Those figures will not match the ones on your betting slip, and the reason is margin. This market is priced with a 5.1% cut built into it. Take the cut back out and you are left with what the bookmaker actually believes — which is the table below.
Across the rest of the board, over 2.5 goals sits at 42.3% and both teams to score at 40.4%. Read next to a 62.8% favourite, that is a market pricing a result rather than a shoot-out.
| Albania | 62.8% |
| Draw | 23.6% |
| Belarus | 13.6% |
Where these numbers come from
A price of 2.00 looks like a 50%% chance. It never is. The bookmaker works out the true probability first, adds their margin, and hands you the marked-up number. The size of that mark-up changes from match to match, which is why two bets that feel identical can cost you very different amounts.
Taking the mark-up back out is the whole job, and the arithmetic is written out in full here. Nothing on this page is a tip, a selection or a forecast: no bet is recommended, no outcome is predicted, and no claim is made that any of it produces a profit. It is the bookmakers’ own view of each match, published without their cut on top.
The full board — every match today, every market, updated through the day — is on the front page, and a fifth of it is free to read without an account.